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抚顺地区气温分布与乡镇温度预报订正方法研究

李若楠 刘畅 杨冰 吴佳丽 张微玮 李文博

现代农业科技Issue(21):220-222,3.
现代农业科技Issue(21):220-222,3.

抚顺地区气温分布与乡镇温度预报订正方法研究

Research of Temperature Distribution in Fushun Area and Temperature Forecast Correction Method of Villages and Towns

李若楠 1刘畅 1杨冰 2吴佳丽 1张微玮 1李文博1

作者信息

  • 1. 辽宁省新宾满族自治县气象局,辽宁新宾 113200
  • 2. 辽阳市气象局
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Forecast of the next 24 hours is the daily work content of each meteorological station. As people pay more attention to the weather forecast,the higher temperature forecast accuracy of villages and towns are required. In connection with the distribution of the data and the location of 87 automatic weather stations in Fushun City,one observation station with most complete data was selected as a representative station,monthly temperature difference chart was drawn,and the temperature distribution of the city was studied. On this basis,taking 15 towns in Xinbin County for example,a methodology of temperature forecast correction method was proposed to test the results. The results showed that: Annual temperature distribution trend of Fushun area has obvious seasonal variation;Using the methodology to correct the values of the temperature forecast of 15 towns in Xinbin County,the accuracy of the temperature mostly are above 80%.

关键词

气温分布/变化趋势/等差值/预报订正/准确率/辽宁抚顺

Key words

temperature distribution/variation trend/arithmetic value/forecast correction/accuracy/Fushun Liaoning

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

李若楠,刘畅,杨冰,吴佳丽,张微玮,李文博..抚顺地区气温分布与乡镇温度预报订正方法研究[J].现代农业科技,2014,(21):220-222,3.

现代农业科技

1007-5739

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