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脓毒症患者预后危险因素的Logistic回归分析

范泉 张泓

安徽医科大学学报Issue(10):1479-1481,1501,4.
安徽医科大学学报Issue(10):1479-1481,1501,4.

脓毒症患者预后危险因素的Logistic回归分析

Logistic regression analysis of the prognostic factors of patients with sepsis

范泉 1张泓2

作者信息

  • 1. 安徽医科大学第一附属医院急诊科,合肥 230022
  • 2. 安徽中医药大学第一附属医院急诊科,合肥 230031
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To investigate the prognostic factors in patients with sepsis and to provide the theoretical basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment. Methods A total of 141 septic patients were analyzed retrospectively. Patients were divided into two groups:those who were alive at time of ICU discharge ( survivors;n=83 ) and those who died or to give up before terminal stage ( nonsurvivors;n=58 ) . Then the clinical data were statistically ana-lyzed. Results In the death group: age, APACHE II score, blood urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, C-reactive protein were significantly higher than the survival group (P<0. 01) while albumin, pre albumin were lower than that in the survival group (P<0.01). The Logistic regression analysis illustrated: age ( > 60 years), APACHEIIscore ( >20 score) and blood urea nitrogen ( > 9 mmol/L) , serum creatinine ( > 176 μmol/L) , C-reactive protein level were independent predictors of death in patients with sepsis ( P<0 . 05 ) . Then drew the receiver oper-ating characteristic curve ( ROC curve) and analyzed the respective risk factor for predicting prognosis value of sep-sis with the help of ROC curve. Conclusion Age, high APACHE II score in early sepsis, increased urea nitro-gen, elevated serum creatinine and increased C-reactive protein levels were regarded as prognostic value indicators for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with sepsis.

关键词

脓毒症/预后/危险因素/Logistic回归

Key words

sepsis/prognosis/risk factors/Logistic regression

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

范泉,张泓..脓毒症患者预后危险因素的Logistic回归分析[J].安徽医科大学学报,2014,(10):1479-1481,1501,4.

基金项目

安徽省自然基金项目(编号:1208085MH150) (编号:1208085MH150)

安徽医科大学学报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-1492

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