北华大学学报（自然科学版）Issue(4)：427-432,6.DOI:10.11713/j.issn.1009-4822.2014.04.002
一类离散包虫病传播模型的分析与模拟
Analysis and Simulation of a Discrete Dynamic Model of Echinococcosis Disease Transmission
摘要
Abstract
By analyzing the epidemic status of echinococcosis and the mechanism of transmission, a discrete dynamics model of echinococcosis disease spreading by using dynamics models was built. The key factors that influence the spread and control of disease were analyzed. Then the model gets the basic reproductive number which disease spreads or not. The model was simulated by using quarterly data of patients with hydatid disease from 2004 to 2012, a long term prediction of hydatid disease in Xinjiang was made. Finally, it compares the sensitivity of the model parameters and different control measures.关键词
包虫病/基本再生数/离散动力学模型/数值模拟Key words
echinococcosis disease/basic reproductive number/discrete dynamics model/numerical modeling分类
数理科学引用本文复制引用
唐丹丹,张学良,王凯..一类离散包虫病传播模型的分析与模拟[J].北华大学学报（自然科学版）,2014,(4):427-432,6.基金项目
新疆包虫病基础医学重点实验室开放课题(XJDX0202-2013-2) （XJDX0202-2013-2）
国家自然科学基金项目(11201399) （11201399）
新疆维吾尔自治区教育厅高校科研计划项目(XJEDU2012S20) （XJEDU2012S20）
