北华大学学报（自然科学版）Issue(2)：150-154,5.DOI:10.11713/j.issn.1009-4822.2015.02.003
新疆HIV传播的动力学分析与模拟
Analysis and Simulation of Dynamic Model of HIV Transmission in Xinjiang
摘要
Abstract
By analyzing the mechanism of HIV virus transmission and using the dynamics method, HIV transmission dynamic model is built,the key factors influenced the spread of disease and control are analyzed. The model analysis to get the basic reproductive number R0 decide the spread of disease or not,it proves that when the basic reproductive number R0 is less than 1,disease will eliminate. When the basic reproductive number R0 is greater than 1,the disease will become endemic disease. Stimulating the model number through collecting and estimating parameters,HIV epidemic status is analyzed in Xinjiang,sensitivity analysis of model parameters are given.关键词
HIV/基本再生数/传染病动力学模型/数值模拟Key words
HIV/basic reproductive number/infectious disease dynamics model/numerical simulation分类
数理科学引用本文复制引用
唐丹丹,王凯,李冬梅,张利萍,张学良..新疆HIV传播的动力学分析与模拟[J].北华大学学报（自然科学版）,2015,(2):150-154,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(11461073,11201399) （11461073,11201399）
新疆自然科学基金项目(2015211C024,2015211C031) （2015211C024,2015211C031）
新疆研究生科研创新项目(XJGRI2014101) （XJGRI2014101）
