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北京市某肠道门诊腹泻监测预警控制图的建立

王品泽 胥婕 宁永忠 刘民 代小秋 杨雪松 海山卡德尔拜 李晓光 沈励 汪整辉 吴华

北京大学学报(医学版)Issue(3):424-428,5.
北京大学学报(医学版)Issue(3):424-428,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-167X.2014.03.016

北京市某肠道门诊腹泻监测预警控制图的建立

Establishment of early warning control charts based on the syndromic surveillance data of outpatient diarrhea in Beijing

王品泽 1胥婕 2宁永忠 2刘民 1代小秋 1杨雪松 2海山卡德尔拜 1李晓光 2沈励 1汪整辉 2吴华2

作者信息

  • 1. 北京大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系,北京 100191
  • 2. 北京大学第三医院,北京 100191
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective:To establish the control charts for early warning of diarrhea based on the syn-dromic surveillance data from enteric clinic in Beijing .Methods:The outpatient data from enteric clinic of a Grade Three General hospital in Haidian district , Beijing from April 1 to Oct.31, 2009 and from May 1 to Nov.10, 2010 were collected, according to the moving average method , the baseline calcula-ted, the value of probability αand μα, the early warning value based on the formula “w=Xj +μαSj”calculated and the early warning control charts drew at last .Results:According to the harmfulness , the severity and controllability of diarrheal diseases , the value of probability αwas determined as 0.01, thenμα( unilateral) as 2, based on the early warning value , the control charts of diarrheal diseases , bacillary dysentery and other infectious diarrhea were established .Conclusion:The enteric clinic requires to fur-ther collect baseline data to evaluate and continuously adjust the established control charts for the best early warning model in accordance with the enteric clinic .

关键词

门诊病人/腹泻/人群监测/预警控制图

Key words

Outpatients/Diarrhea/Population surveillance/Early warning control chart

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

王品泽,胥婕,宁永忠,刘民,代小秋,杨雪松,海山卡德尔拜,李晓光,沈励,汪整辉,吴华..北京市某肠道门诊腹泻监测预警控制图的建立[J].北京大学学报(医学版),2014,(3):424-428,5.

基金项目

国家高技术研究发展计划资助项目(“863”计划)(2008AA02Z416) Supported by the National High Technology Research and De-velopment Program of China ()

北京大学学报(医学版)

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1671-167X

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