巢湖学院学报Issue(2)：49-53,5.
我国第三产业发展现状研究及趋势预测--基于主成分分析和逐步回归分析
ON THE CURRENT SITUATION OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA' S TERTIARY INDUSTRY AND ITS TREND PREDICTION---BASED ON ANALYSIS OF THE PRINCIPAL COMPONENT AND THE STEPWISE REGRESSION
摘要
Abstract
According to the data table of output value of China’s tertiary industry from 1978 to 2011, this paper analyzes the significant impact factors influencing the speed of the development in China’s tertiary industry through the analysis of the prin-cipal component and the reduction dimension of mathematics so as to determine the main ingredients influencing the develop-ment of the tertiary industry and to calculate the comprehensive score of each principal component. Based on the optimal re-gression model, this paper further forecasts the developing trend of China’s tertiary industry. In the end, some reasonable advice is given for keeping the steady progress of China’s tertiary industry.关键词
第三产业/主成分分析/逐步回归分析/预测Key words
the tertiary industry/analysis of the principal component method/analysis of the stepwise regression/prediction分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
徐群,于德淼,赵春阁..我国第三产业发展现状研究及趋势预测--基于主成分分析和逐步回归分析[J].巢湖学院学报,2014,(2):49-53,5.基金项目
甘肃省科技支撑计划 （）
