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汶川震区山洪泥石流灾害危险性评估

杜俊 肖翔 蔡道明 许文涛

长江科学院院报Issue(3):77-83,7.
长江科学院院报Issue(3):77-83,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-5485.2015.03.016

汶川震区山洪泥石流灾害危险性评估

Hazard Assessment of Mountain Torrent Debris Flow in Wenchuan Seismic Area

杜俊 1肖翔 2蔡道明 1许文涛1

作者信息

  • 1. 长江科学院 水土保持研究所,武汉 430010
  • 2. 长江水利委员会 水土保持局,武汉 430010
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The main factors inducing mountain torrent were classified into two types:stable factors which have rela-tive stable role in the mountain torrent development,and complex factors which vary greatly before and after the earthquake.The distribution patterns of different factors were mapped and the impact degree of each factor on disas-ter pattern was quantified by using stepwise regression and AHP.Finally,the diagram of risk distribution of moun-tain torrent debris flow in the seismic area was obtained by using overlay analysis function of ArcGIS.The assess-ment system of this study is demonstrated to be well applicable compared with previous similar research results.It could be intuitional reference for the prevention of mountain torrent debris flows in seismic area.

关键词

山洪泥石流/危险性评估/汶川震区/风险评估理论/灾害

Key words

mountain torrent-debris flow/hazard assessment/Wenchuan seismic area/risk assessment theory/dis-asters

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

杜俊,肖翔,蔡道明,许文涛..汶川震区山洪泥石流灾害危险性评估[J].长江科学院院报,2015,(3):77-83,7.

基金项目

国家“十二五”科技支撑计划项目(2012BAK10B04);水利部公益性行业科研专项(201301058,201301059);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费资助项目 ()

长江科学院院报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-5485

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