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交通碳税对我国碳排放、社会福利及税收收入的影响分析--基于TREMOVE模型∗

符淼 孙宇

重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版)Issue(2):8-15,8.
重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版)Issue(2):8-15,8.DOI:12.3969/j.issn.1672-0598.2015.02.002

交通碳税对我国碳排放、社会福利及税收收入的影响分析--基于TREMOVE模型∗

Analysis on the Impact of Transportation Carbon Taxes on CO2 Emissions, Social Welfare and Tax Revenue in China---Based on TREMOVE Model

符淼 1孙宇1

作者信息

  • 1. 广东外语外贸大学 经济贸易学院,广州510006
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Using China Model of TREMOVE and China national data, this paper simulates the implementation of new vehicle and vessel tax and carbon tax. The simulation results show that the implementation of new vehicle and vessel tax and carbon tax will make CO2 emissions decline 119 million tones in 2030. While if substitution of public traffic for private traffic is more elastic or the number of cars is limited, the declination of CO2 emissions will be more prominent. The combined implementation of both tax policies will make a positive effect on social welfare and government tax revenue. Under the double dividend effect, the positive effect on social welfare will be more significant by replacing service tax with environmental tax.

关键词

TREMOVE模型/碳税/CO2排放量/社会福利/税收/车船税

Key words

China Model of TREMOVE/carbon taxes/CO2 emissions/social welfare/tax revenue

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

符淼,孙宇..交通碳税对我国碳排放、社会福利及税收收入的影响分析--基于TREMOVE模型∗[J].重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版),2015,(2):8-15,8.

基金项目

广东自然科学基金自由申请项目( S2011010003343);广东省高等学校高层次人才项目 ()

重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版)

OACHSSCD

1672-0598

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