摘要
Abstract
In the bill-of-quantity mode, as there are some di- fferences between bidding engineering quantity and compl- eted engineering quantity, the unbalanced quotation adopted by bidding companies may lead to the probable risk to construc- tion companies. Based on the thorough analysis on the bidding strategies of bidding companies the optimal unbalanced biddi- ng model was built to acquire the optimum price quotation. Then, with Monte Carlo simulation method cost risk evaluati- on model of power transmission and transformation projects was built to measure the risk of construction companies. The appropriate measures were used according to the risk scale, which could minimize the happening of excess budgetary esti- mate. The research results have guiding significance to the en- gineering cost management, and wil standardize the bidding rules for the health, reasonable and sustainable development of the construction of power transmission and transformation pr- ojects.关键词
蒙特卡罗法/风险控制/风险评估模型Key words
Monte Carlo method/risk control/risk evaluation model
