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基于多元线性回归分析的计量资产寿命预测与评价方法研究

徐晴 沈秋英 郭兴昕 王文平 金萍 龚丹

电测与仪表Issue(11):13-17,5.
电测与仪表Issue(11):13-17,5.

基于多元线性回归分析的计量资产寿命预测与评价方法研究

Study on the Lifetime Prediction and Evaluation of Metering Assets Based on the Multivariate Linear Regression Analysis

徐晴 1沈秋英 1郭兴昕 1王文平 2金萍 1龚丹1

作者信息

  • 1. 江苏省电力公司电力科学研究院,南京210016
  • 2. 东南大学经济管理学院,南京211189
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Starting with analyzing characteristics of the management for the life cycle of metering properties , this paper aims to predict the lifetime of the metering properties and evaluate the status level .First, the paper analyzed every rea-sonable and potential effect of all element on the lifetime of the metering assets , and put forward the concept of bench-mark values of the metering assets ’ lifetime.Then, the paper adopted the principal component analysis method to e-liminate the phenomenon of multivariate co-linearity and thereby predicted the lifetime of the metering assets with the theory of multivariate linear regression .Finally , by comparing the predicted lifetime with the benchmark value of the metering assets , the status level of the metering asset was got .The experimental results verified that this method could work quite effectively in predicting the lifetime of the metering properties and evaluating the status level .

关键词

多元线性回归/计量资产/寿命预测/状态等级

Key words

multivariate linear regression/metering assets/lifetime prediction/status level

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

徐晴,沈秋英,郭兴昕,王文平,金萍,龚丹..基于多元线性回归分析的计量资产寿命预测与评价方法研究[J].电测与仪表,2014,(11):13-17,5.

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