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基于Copula方法的风光互补发电系统相关性模型研究

张盼盼 熊炜

电测与仪表Issue(17):93-98,116,7.
电测与仪表Issue(17):93-98,116,7.

基于Copula方法的风光互补发电系统相关性模型研究

Correlation Model Research on Copula Function Based Wind/Solar Complementary Generation System

张盼盼 1熊炜1

作者信息

  • 1. 贵州大学电气工程学院,贵阳550025
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The wind speed and illumination in wind/solar complementary generation system has some correlation, which makes their joint distribution function be used to enhance the reliability assessment of the power distribution net-work. The maximum wind speed and illumination in a year in Hohhot area has been taken as the sample,and the ker-nel density estimation has been adopted to get the cumulative distribution function of wind speed and illumination. Their binary joint distribution function are established respectively through three kinds of Archimedes Copula func-tions,and the optimal copula function will be selected based on the minimum fitting error. Only the parameterθof the function whether meeting the requirements need be tested in such method so as to avoid the complicated calculation process in traditional mathematical modeling method.

关键词

风速光照相关性/核密度估计/阿基米德Copula函数

Key words

correlation of wind speed and illumination/kernel density estimation/Archimedes copula function

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

张盼盼,熊炜..基于Copula方法的风光互补发电系统相关性模型研究[J].电测与仪表,2014,(17):93-98,116,7.

基金项目

贵州省科技厅基金资助项目 ()

电测与仪表

OA北大核心

1001-1390

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