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基于灰色神经网络优化组合的风力发电量预测研究

章勇高 王妍 孙佳 高彦丽

电测与仪表Issue(22):30-34,5.
电测与仪表Issue(22):30-34,5.

基于灰色神经网络优化组合的风力发电量预测研究

Study on Wind Power Capacity Prediction Based on the Optimal Combination of the Grey Neural Network

章勇高 1王妍 1孙佳 2高彦丽1

作者信息

  • 1. 华东交通大学 电气与电子工程学院 南昌330013
  • 2. 南昌大学 信息工程学院自动化系 南昌330031
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper proposed a study on wind power capacity prediction based on the optimal combination of the grey neural network,which combined the artificial neural network( ANN)prediction model with the grey prediction model effectively. This study not only considered such factors as wind velocity,wind direction and temperature,but also took into account the historical data of the wind power capacity in the previous years. The combination of the advantages of both predictions improved the prediction accuracy and reduced the prediction errors. The results of the calculation ex-ample proved that the forecasting value error of the grey neural network optimal combination was lower than that of the single grey prediction or neural network prediction.

关键词

人工神经网络/灰色预测技术/优化组合预测技术/误差/风力发电量

Key words

artificial neural network/grey prediction model/optimal combination forecasting technique/error/wind

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

章勇高,王妍,孙佳,高彦丽..基于灰色神经网络优化组合的风力发电量预测研究[J].电测与仪表,2014,(22):30-34,5.

基金项目

江西省教育厅科技项目(GJJ14387);江西省科技厅科技攻关项目 ()

电测与仪表

OA北大核心

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