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基于状态检修的电网运行风险评估

何乐彰 张忠会 姚峰 李玉婷

电测与仪表Issue(24):22-27,6.
电测与仪表Issue(24):22-27,6.

基于状态检修的电网运行风险评估

Risk assessment on condition-based maintenance in power grid

何乐彰 1张忠会 2姚峰 3李玉婷2

作者信息

  • 1. 国网上饶供电公司,江西上饶334000
  • 2. 南昌大学信息工程学院,南昌330031
  • 3. 河南省电力公司郑州450052
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Calculation of the equipment failure rate is a key point to the risk assessment of power system operation. The condition based mainteinance equipment fault rate algorithm is applied to the risk assessment of power system op-eration, which will improve the accuracy and reliability of equipment failure rate in a certain extent.The power system operation risk assessment methods based on the condition maintenance take full consideration of the existing uncertain-ty in power grid operation, and describe the running risk level of the power grid comprehensively through the five risk index including the line overload, transformer overload, over voltage, low voltage and loss of load.The layer analysis method is applied to the calculation of the comprehensive risk index of power network, which provides a reference frame to the comparison of risk under different operating modes of power grid.Through the practical example analysis, this paper demonstrates the effectiveness of the power system operation risk assessment method based on condition ma-intenance.

关键词

状态检修/故障率/风险评估/层次分析法/综合风险

Key words

condition maintenance/failure rate/risk assessment/AHP/integrated risk

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

何乐彰,张忠会,姚峰,李玉婷..基于状态检修的电网运行风险评估[J].电测与仪表,2014,(24):22-27,6.

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