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基于Copula理论挖掘地磁Z分量震磁信息

张明东 张文蕾 曹井泉 王建国 谭青 张玮

地震学报Issue(5):930-943,14.
地震学报Issue(5):930-943,14.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.0253-3782.2014.05.016

基于Copula理论挖掘地磁Z分量震磁信息

Mining for seismomagnetic information of geomagnetic Z component based on Copula theory

张明东 1张文蕾 2曹井泉 3王建国 3谭青 3张玮1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国合肥230026 中国科学技术大学地球与空间科学学院
  • 2. 中国天津300201 天津市地震局
  • 3. 中国天津300201 天津市地震局
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In this paper,we selected geomagnetic data of five seismographic sta-tions in Tianjin,analyzed and calculated geomagnetic Z component data from 1986 to 2013 based on Copula theory. After comparison of Kendall and Spearman coefficients in a variety of models,the optimal model was got,and then Kendall coefficient timing curves were analyzed in different cycles.The calculated results show that Kendall coefficient timing curve is in the disordered phase before the MS≥5 .0 earthquake,and its consistency turns better rapidly after the earthquake.That is because the accumulated seismic stress causes the underground electrical structure to change,and the stress is released after the earthquake,magnetic field data returns to normal.It is more predominant that Kendall coefficient of the Qingguang seismographic station (it has the smallest distance from the epicenter)dropped sharply before the Wen’an MS5.1 earth-quake in 2006 ,which is different from that of other stations;while Kendall co-efficient of the Ninghe seismographic station (it has the smallest distance from the epicenter)rose marginally before the Tangshan MS4.8 earthquake in 2012.

关键词

Copula函数/Kendall系数/Spearman系数/模型检验/地下电性结构

Key words

Copula function/Kendall coefficient/Spearman coefficient/model test/underground electrical structure

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

张明东,张文蕾,曹井泉,王建国,谭青,张玮..基于Copula理论挖掘地磁Z分量震磁信息[J].地震学报,2014,(5):930-943,14.

基金项目

天津市地震局中青年基金、华北首都圈流体学科异常跟踪项目(143004)和首都圈地震电离层监测项目联合资助. ()

地震学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

0253-3782

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