电力系统自动化Issue(10)：93-99,150,8.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20140705006
不确定性需求响应建模在电力积分激励决策中的应用
Application of Uncertain Demand Response Modeling in Power-score Incentive Decision
摘要
Abstract
A customer response model considering uncertainty is developed.The laws of demand response (DR) change with economic incentive and other factors are described with load curtailing capacity and response uncertainty.Since the DR based on power-score mechanism should meet the power shortage of the orderly power utilization plan,the relationships between changes of the customer load curve and external factors are described by the uncertain model.Thus not only can the influence of incentives on customer load curtailment or transfer capacity be explained,but also the characteristics of subjectivity and stochasticity of response behaviors are considered.Then a decision model for the grid company is developed and solved by stochastic simulation and extended priority method.Results of case study have verified the effectiveness of the above-mentioned modeling and solving methods.With more comprehensive information provided to the grid company because of the uncertainty of customer response behaviors,the implementation effect on DR can be selectively enhanced as well.关键词
需求响应/电力市场/不确定性/响应模型/决策模型/灵敏度分析Key words
demand response(DR)/power market/uncertainty/response model/decision model/sensitivity analysis引用本文复制引用
王蓓蓓,孙宇军,李扬..不确定性需求响应建模在电力积分激励决策中的应用[J].电力系统自动化,2015,(10):93-99,150,8.基金项目
国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)资助项目(2011AA05A115) （863计划）
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71471036,51277028)。This work is supported by National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program)(No.2011AA05A115) and National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71471036,No.51277028) （71471036,51277028）
