电网技术Issue(11)：2986-2992,7.DOI:10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2014.11.007
跨区域电力资源供需均衡仿真的系统动力学模型
A System Dynamics Model for Supply-Demand Equilibrium Simulation of Inter-Regional Electric Power Resource
摘要
Abstract
In China the distribution of the electric power source and the power load follows the regularity of reverse distribution, thus the supply-demand equilibrium of electric power should be implemented by inter-regional deployment. To rationalize the relationship of causality and feedback among inter-regional energy source production, energy source transportation and economic development, overall considering such factors as the production of wind power generation, the price fluctuation of the coal, the elasticity of economic development to the price of energy source, the cost of energy source transportation and the price of carbon emission, based on the system dynamics model the supply-demand equilibrium of inter-regional electric power resource is simulated. Simulation results show that the relationship between coal supply and demand impacts the economic development by price mechanism, and through relieving the pressure of coal supply the wind power generation plays the role of positive feedback to economic growth to a certain extent; besides, the construction of power transmission lines can enhance the accommodation ability of wind power to further promote economic development.关键词
电力资源/跨区域/供需均衡/系统动力学Key words
energy resource/inter-region/supply-demand equilibrium/system dynamics分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
宋艺航,张会娟,谭忠富..跨区域电力资源供需均衡仿真的系统动力学模型[J].电网技术,2014,(11):2986-2992,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(71273090)；南方电网公司科技项目(K-KY2013-102)。Project Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (71273090), Science and Technology Project of CSG (K-KY2013-102) （71273090）
