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贝叶斯定理在风险型决策中的应用

于惠川 尼加提·帕尔哈提

辽宁石油化工大学学报Issue(3):73-75,80,4.
辽宁石油化工大学学报Issue(3):73-75,80,4.DOI:10.3696/j.issn.1672-6952.2015.03.018

贝叶斯定理在风险型决策中的应用

Bayes Theorem’s Application in Risk Decision

于惠川 1尼加提·帕尔哈提1

作者信息

  • 1. 辽宁石油化工大学经济管理学院,辽宁抚顺 113001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The four properties and the fundamental model of Bayes’s formula and the importance of solving problems were stated in risk decision.Two typical cases were enumerated,and they illustrated the effectiveness and good results of Bayes theorem in the application process;the drawing and operation process of decision tree method were explained in detail.

关键词

贝叶斯定理/风险型决策/先验概率/后验概率/期望值

Key words

Bayes theorem/Risk type decision/Prior probability/Posterior probability/Expected value

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

于惠川,尼加提·帕尔哈提..贝叶斯定理在风险型决策中的应用[J].辽宁石油化工大学学报,2015,(3):73-75,80,4.

辽宁石油化工大学学报

1672-6952

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