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灰色趋势~逐步回归周期组合模型在韩江潮安站长期水文预报中的应用

李俊伟

广东水利水电Issue(6):25-28,38,5.
广东水利水电Issue(6):25-28,38,5.

灰色趋势~逐步回归周期组合模型在韩江潮安站长期水文预报中的应用

Application of the Grey-Stepwise Regression Period Combinatorial Model to Long-term Hydrological Forecasting in Chaoan Station of Hanjiang Basin

李俊伟1

作者信息

  • 1. 广东省水文局汕头水文分局,广东汕头 515041
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Base on The Grey-Stepwise Regression Period Combinatorial Model , Chaoan station in Hanjiang basin prediction model is developed.The fitting result is more satisfactory than the GM (1, 1) model and the Stepwise Regression Period Model .Though the accuracy of the actual forecasting is not so high than the fitting accuracy , the combinatorial model is worth to be studied and improved.

关键词

长期预报/灰色模型/逐步回归周期分析/潮安站

Key words

The Grey-Stepwise regression period combinatorial model/Chaoan/long-term hydrological forecasting

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

李俊伟..灰色趋势~逐步回归周期组合模型在韩江潮安站长期水文预报中的应用[J].广东水利水电,2014,(6):25-28,38,5.

广东水利水电

1008-0112

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