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基于可变模糊评价法的农业旱灾灾后恢复力评估研究--以河北省为例

谷洪波 刘新意 刘芷妤

干旱地区农业研究Issue(5):174-180,7.
干旱地区农业研究Issue(5):174-180,7.

基于可变模糊评价法的农业旱灾灾后恢复力评估研究--以河北省为例

Application of variable fuzzy assessment method to drought resilience evaluation:a case study of Hebei Province

谷洪波 1刘新意 1刘芷妤1

作者信息

  • 1. 湖南科技大学管理学院,湖南 湘潭411201
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Taking into consideration the natural and social economic conditions,eight indexes including precipita-tion,multiple cropping index,yield per unit area,per capita yield,effective irrigation rate,labor force proportion,per capita income of farmers,and ratio of agriculture output to input,were used to evaluate agricultural drought resilience . By using analytic hierarchy process,the weight of each index was determined,and the variable fuzzy assessment model was used for 1 1 cities of Hebei Province .The results indicated that there were significant differences among cities,with Shijiazhuang showing the highest value of 4 .2329,Tangshan the second 4 .0046,and Zhangjiakou the lowest 1 .8079 . We also found that effect of influencing factors on drought resilience varied .Precipitation was the most influencing factor, and effective irrigation rate as well as per capita income of farmers and ratio of agriculture output to input also showed considerable effects .

关键词

旱灾/灾后恢复力/层次分析法/可变模糊评价

Key words

drought disaster/drought resilience/assessment/the analytic hierarchy process/variable fuzzy method

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

谷洪波,刘新意,刘芷妤..基于可变模糊评价法的农业旱灾灾后恢复力评估研究--以河北省为例[J].干旱地区农业研究,2014,(5):174-180,7.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金项目 ()

干旱地区农业研究

OACSCDCSTPCD

1000-7601

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