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Agent和供给函数均衡模型在电力市场竞价中的应用及对比分析

曾鸣 王玉萍 王蕾 薛松 何彦英

工业工程Issue(2):12-16,5.
工业工程Issue(2):12-16,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.2014.02.003

Agent和供给函数均衡模型在电力市场竞价中的应用及对比分析

Application and Comparison of Agent and Supply Function Equilibrium Models in Electricity Market Auction

曾鸣 1王玉萍 1王蕾 1薛松 1何彦英1

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The advancement in power system reform promotes an increasingly competitive electricity mar-ket .Under such an environment , based on competitors and personal situation ,power generation companies have developed reasonable and effective bidding strategies to maximize profits .By considering extreme val-ue of the future market and the daily market , an agent model and supply function equilibrium ( SFE) mod-el are built .Then, the prediction accuracy obtained by the models is compared .With a numerical example of four typical days in a regional grid of some cities , it is shown that , in the non-peak hours , the agent model has a strong forecasting ability of the price level and volatility , while the SFE model can more accu-rately predict off-peak price level .

关键词

电力市场/agent模型/供给函数均衡

Key words

electricity markets/agent model/supply function equilibrium

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

曾鸣,王玉萍,王蕾,薛松,何彦英..Agent和供给函数均衡模型在电力市场竞价中的应用及对比分析[J].工业工程,2014,(2):12-16,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(71271082);国家软科学研究计划资助项目 ()

工业工程

OACHSSCDCSTPCD

1007-7375

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