工业工程2015，Vol.18Issue(2)：73-79,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.2015.02.011
基于系统动力学的跑道侵入风险演化博弈研究
A Research on Evolutionary Game of Runway Incursion Risks Based on System Dynamics
摘要
Abstract
In order to investigate game strategies between airports, airlines and industrial government for controlling runway incursion risks, a tripartite evolutionary game model is built based on payoff function matrix and the evolutionary game process simulated based on system dynamics.Two kinds of simulation en-vironments are set up, including probability mutation and dynamic regulation.The model has passed tests and sensitivity analysis.Simulation results show that the game model has effective solutions, but there is no evolutionary equilibrium.There is evolutionary equilibrium under the condition of dynamic regulation strategy.The conclusion is that economic sanction is imposed as the function of runway incursion risks se-verity.Industrial government implements dynamic regulation strategy which pushes airports and airlines to intensify the control of runway incursion risks.关键词
跑道侵入/演化博弈/系统动力学Key words
runway incursion/evolutionary game/system dynamics分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
赵贤利,罗帆..基于系统动力学的跑道侵入风险演化博弈研究[J].工业工程,2015,18(2):73-79,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71271163) （71271163）
