工业技术经济Issue(10)：87-95,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-910X.2014.10.010
技术进步对我国出口贸易结构调整影响的实证研究--基于 VAR 模型的回归估计
Empirical Study on the Impact of Technological Progress on Export Structure--- Based on the VAR Model
摘要
Abstract
This paper conducted an empirical research of the effect of technologial progress on the adjustment of China's export prod-uct structure though Cointegration Analysis ,VAR Model Regression Analysis , Impulse Response Analysis ,Variance Decomposition and Granger Causality Test from the perspective of technology import , technology diffusion and R&D .The results show that even technologial progress promotes the adjustment of China's export product structure ,but it is still not the Granger reason of the adjustment of China's ex-port product structure ,which indicates that technologial progress and the marketization of technologial progress is still at a low level , and technologial progress is still not the main driving force of the adjustment of China's export product structure .关键词
技术引进/技术扩散/科技创新/出口贸易结构/VAR 模型Key words
technology import/technology diffusion/R&D/export structure/VAR model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
赵红,彭馨..技术进步对我国出口贸易结构调整影响的实证研究--基于 VAR 模型的回归估计[J].工业技术经济,2014,(10):87-95,9.基金项目
国家软科学基金一般项目“节能目标约束下我国对外贸易产品结构调整研究” （）
重庆市社科基金一般项目“直辖十五年重庆外贸出口增长方式变迁及十二五时期稳定出口政策研究”（项目编号2012YBJJ022）。 （）
