工业技术经济Issue(12)：66-72,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-910X.2014.12.009
最终消费与经济增长的协整分析--基于1978～2012年数据的实证研究
The Co-integration Analysis on the Final Consumption and Economic Growth---Empirical Study Based on Data from 1978 to 2012
摘要
Abstract
〔Abstract〕 According to the final consumption and GDP data from 1978 to 2012 , with the eviews 6.0 software , through the co -in-tegration test , granger causality test and error correction model , we makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between final consump-tion and the economic growth of China . The results are as follows :there exists a stable equilibrium relationship between the consumption of rural residents , urban residents'consumption , government consumption and economic growth ;the rural residents'consumption has the strongest driving effect on economic growth , followed by the government consumption , the last is the urban residents'consumption . Urban residents'consumption , government consumption is one -way granger cause of economic growth . Government consumption is one -way granger cause of rural residents consumption and urban residents consumption .关键词
最终消费/协整分析/Granger因果关系检验/经济增长Key words
final consumption/co-integration analysis/granger causality test/economic growth分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘晓红,江可申..最终消费与经济增长的协整分析--基于1978～2012年数据的实证研究[J].工业技术经济,2014,(12):66-72,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目（项目编号71203097）；教育部规划基金项目（项目编号13YJA820022）；教育部人文社会科学基金青年项目（项目编号10YJC790005）；江苏省社科基金项目（项目编号12DDB009）；江苏省高校哲学社会科学重点项目（项目编号2013ZDIXM026）；江苏省教育科学“十二五”规划重点课题（项目编号B－b／2013／01／008）。 （）
