工业技术经济Issue(7)：106-112,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-910X.2015.07.013
基于动态空间面板模型的城镇居民直接碳排放影响因素研究
Rsearch on Influencing Factors of Urban Residents Direct Carbon Emissions Based on Dynamic Spatial Panel Model
摘要
Abstract
As the improvement of income level and the change of consumption idea , residents carbon emissions rose rapidly and re-stricted the process of low carbon economy significantly in our country . The paper estimated urban residents direct carbon emissions of the different provinces in China . Based on this , using Moran's I index and dynamic spatial panel model , this paper analyzed the spatial aggre-gation characteristics and influence factors of residents carbon emissions . According to the results , residents carbon emissions showed posi-tive space correlation significantly , and the main spatial aggregation model were HH and LL model . Residents carbon emissions showed strong time inertia , the emissions was closely related to the previous emissions . Population and income level were the main driving factors , while energy technology could inhibit residents carbon emissions . It showed typical EKC relationship between residents carbon emissions and income levels , but it remained to be a long time to reach curve inflection point . Based on the above , the paper put forward policy sugges-tions briefly .关键词
城镇居民/直接碳排放/空间聚集/影响因素/动态空间面板模型Key words
urban residents/direct carbon emissions/spatial aggregation/influencing factors/dynamic spatial panel model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李国志..基于动态空间面板模型的城镇居民直接碳排放影响因素研究[J].工业技术经济,2015,(7):106-112,7.基金项目
浙江省社科规划课题（项目编号14NDJC051YB）、丽水学院浙江省重点学科“区域经济学”建设项目。 （）
