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基于剩余使用寿命预测的替换时间和备件订购时间联合决策

蒋云鹏 郭天序 周东华

化工学报Issue(1):284-290,7.
化工学报Issue(1):284-290,7.DOI:10.11949/j.issn.0438-1157.20141517

基于剩余使用寿命预测的替换时间和备件订购时间联合决策

Joint decision on replacement time and spare ordering time based on remaining useful life prediction

蒋云鹏 1郭天序 2周东华1

作者信息

  • 1. 清华大学自动化系,北京 100084
  • 2. 中国船舶工业系统工程研究院,北京 100094
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the predicted information about remaining useful life, the joint decision on replacement time and spare ordering time for a single-unit system subject to condition monitoring is considered. First, the distribution function of the remaining useful life is predicted with real-time condition monitoring information;then, the sequential and joint optimization models are established based on the predicted information;finally, the effects of the joint decision and the sequential decision are compared by using the real bearing accelerated life test. The results illustrate that the joint decision is better, and it can avoid the problem under the sequential decision that decision results cannot be implemented.

关键词

预测维修/剩余使用寿命/联合决策/序贯决策/备件订购

Key words

predictive maintenance/remaining useful life/joint decision/sequential decision/spare ordering

分类

机械制造

引用本文复制引用

蒋云鹏,郭天序,周东华..基于剩余使用寿命预测的替换时间和备件订购时间联合决策[J].化工学报,2015,(1):284-290,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(61210012,61290324)。@@@@supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61210012,61290324) (61210012,61290324)

化工学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

0438-1157

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