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基于组合预测模型的某型导弹贮存寿命评估方法

徐廷学 奚文骏 赵建印 赵亮

海军航空工程学院学报Issue(3):230-234,5.
海军航空工程学院学报Issue(3):230-234,5.DOI:10.7682/j.issn.1673-1522.2014.03.007

基于组合预测模型的某型导弹贮存寿命评估方法

Evaluation Method of Certain Missile Storage Life Based on Combination Forecasting Model

徐廷学 1奚文骏 1赵建印 1赵亮1

作者信息

  • 1. 海军航空工程学院兵器科学与技术系,山东烟台264001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

It is very important to scientifically determine the storage life of a missile for developing support ability and com-bat power of army. Then, the combination forecasting modeling method was focused on describeing with less data modeling features gray GM(1,1) forecasting model and suitable for large random fluctuations Markov model. Finally, this model was used to solve the problem of certain missile storage life evaluation. Through the analytic results, the method was better than the single forecasting method, and was regarded of feasibility and high practice value.

关键词

灰色-马尔科夫/组合预测模型/导弹贮存寿命评估

Key words

GM-Markov/combination forecasting model/missile storage life evaluation

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

徐廷学,奚文骏,赵建印,赵亮..基于组合预测模型的某型导弹贮存寿命评估方法[J].海军航空工程学院学报,2014,(3):230-234,5.

基金项目

国家部委技术基础基金资助项目 ()

海军航空工程学院学报

OACSTPCD

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