经济与管理研究Issue(12)：5-12,8.
欧盟15国经济衰退的实证分析
Empirical Analysis of Economic Recessions for EU-15
摘要
Abstract
According to EU-15 quarterly data from 1990 Q1 to 2013 Q4,coupled with chart analysis and regression analysis,the paper investigates the relation between economic recession and gross government debt,exports,imports, unemployment rate,wages and salaries,and house price.The results reveal that:(1)the average amplitudes and cumulative loss of EU-15 are 3.38% and 5.28% respectively,and average duration is about 4 quarters;(2)the year 2002,2008 and 2011 were experienced globally economic synchronized recessions,and government debt and house price are also changed at the same time;(3)exports,wages and salaries,and house price are significantly correlated with recessions at 1% level.关键词
经济衰退/欧盟15国/房价/失业率Key words
Economic Recession/EU-15/House Price/Unemployment Rate分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
邵庆龙..欧盟15国经济衰退的实证分析[J].经济与管理研究,2014,(12):5-12,8.基金项目
国家留学基金资助项目 （）
