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基于Agent的突发性群体事件人群聚集效应分析

陈鹏 陈建国 袁宏永

计算机工程与应用Issue(24):21-26,6.
计算机工程与应用Issue(24):21-26,6.DOI:10.3778/j.issn.1002-8331.1405-0217

基于Agent的突发性群体事件人群聚集效应分析

Clustering effect analysis to emergency group incident using Agent-based modeling method

陈鹏 1陈建国 2袁宏永3

作者信息

  • 1. 中国人民公安大学 警务信息工程学院,北京 102600
  • 2. 中国人民公安大学 安全防范技术与风险评估公安部重点实验室,北京 102600
  • 3. 清华大学 公共安全研究院,北京 100084
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Individual’s behaviors in emergency group incident are modeled using Agent method to simulate assembling phenomenon and the influence of crowd’s scale to the incident’s development is analyzed. The constructed Agent model is consisted of three basic functions, namely the production of rage emotion, rumor spreading among the group and con-frontation strategies between individuals. The simulation findings indicate that the higher density of group members in scenario and more powerful of the rumor’s spreading, the faster the individual’s transmitted from watchers to mobs, but there is a threshold that the members density has no impact beyond this level. Additionally, putting more cops into the sce-nario can effectively prevent riot occurring, but the group emotions still deteriorate.

关键词

群体事件/集群效应/Agent/仿真模拟

Key words

group incident/clustering effect/Agent/simulation

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

陈鹏,陈建国,袁宏永..基于Agent的突发性群体事件人群聚集效应分析[J].计算机工程与应用,2014,(24):21-26,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金青年项目(No.71203229)。 ()

计算机工程与应用

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1002-8331

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