计算机与数字工程Issue(7)：1270-1273,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn1672-9722.2015.07.024
基于马尔科夫链的民族地区毒品犯罪预测研究
Prediction of Drug Crime for Ethnic Area Based on Markov Chain
摘要
Abstract
Illegal drug production ,demand and trafficking presents a huge upward trend ,especially drug‐related crime problem for frontier minority areas attract more attention .Aiming at this issue ,we present at the methods of Markov chain are presented to study the frontier minority areas of crime data collected for statistical analysis ,modeling ,forecasting the number of cases of drug‐related crimes .The experimental result is that 96 .52% prediction accuracy is achieved by compared with the number of cases of drug crime actually occurred based on Markov chain method .So we can draw a conclusion that making the Markov chain method can get more reasonable and accurate predictions ,with higher effectiveness and practicality .关键词
毒品犯罪统计/预测模型/马尔科夫链Key words
drug crime statistics/prediction model/Markov chain分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
吴绍兵,王昌梅..基于马尔科夫链的民族地区毒品犯罪预测研究[J].计算机与数字工程,2015,(7):1270-1273,4.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目（编号13CFX038）；云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目（编号2013C188）；云南警官学院教改项目（编号13708460313）资助。 （）
