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安徽省经济增长与环境污染水平关系评估

姚峰 张锐连

江西农业学报Issue(2):121-125,5.
江西农业学报Issue(2):121-125,5.

安徽省经济增长与环境污染水平关系评估

Evaluation of Relationship between Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution in Anhui Province

姚峰 1张锐连1

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学 公共管理学院,江苏 南京 210098
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

According to the statistical data of environmental pollution indexes and GDP per capita in Anhui province from 1990 to 2013, this paper established the measurement model of GDP per capita and environmental pollution level ( emission of industrial“three waste”) , and further evaluated and predicted the relationship between GDP growth per capita and emission of industrial“three waste”.It was found that the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution in Anhui province was rather special.The GDP per capita-emission of industrial wastewater curve of Anhui province showed the developmental trend of “U-shape plus inverted U-shape”, which was different from the traditional environmental Kuznets Curve .Both the GDP per capita -e-mission of industrial solid waste curve and the GDP per capita -emission of industrial waste gas curve could be simulated by cubic regressive equation , and displayed a monotonous rising tendency at present , but had not reached the turning point .Based on the built regressive models , it was predicted that the emission of industrial solid waste and the emission of industrial waste gas began to reveal a gradual improving trend when the GDP per capita in Anhui province reached 3421 yuan and 5189 yuan respectively .

关键词

经济增长/环境污染/环境库兹涅兹曲线/安徽省

Key words

Economic growth/Environmental pollution/Environmental Kuznets Curve/Anhui province

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

姚峰,张锐连..安徽省经济增长与环境污染水平关系评估[J].江西农业学报,2015,(2):121-125,5.

基金项目

中央高校基本业务费项目(2011b04014)。 ()

江西农业学报

OACSTPCD

1001-8581

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