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灰色残差模型在城市工业需水量预测中的运用

王鹏 黄显峰 崔延松

机械制造与自动化Issue(5):135-138,4.
机械制造与自动化Issue(5):135-138,4.

灰色残差模型在城市工业需水量预测中的运用

Application of Residual Model of GM(1,1) in City Industrial Water Requirement Forecast

王鹏 1黄显峰 1崔延松2

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学 水利水电学院,江苏 南京210098
  • 2. 南通大 学交通学院,江苏 南通226019
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The residual model of GM(1, 1) is established to solve the problem that the grey model is used not to achieve satisfactory prediction accuracy.Its principle depends on the grey model’ s principle, They differ in using the grey model established by series of residual . Then this paper establishes the residual forecasting model of GM(1, 1) and grey forecasting model. It is obtained from the precision examination that the residual model of GM(1, 1) should be used to forecast industrial water requirement in Nantong Jiangsu Province.It comes to a conclusion that the applicability of the residual model of GM(1, 1) is better than grey model through analysis and comparison.It is advantageous to forecasting the industrial water requirement and making plan for the urban integrated water re-sources and water supply.

关键词

灰色模型/灰色残差模型/原理/精度检验/工业需水量/预测

Key words

grey model/residual model of GM(1,1)/principle/precision examination/industrial water requirement/forecast

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

王鹏,黄显峰,崔延松..灰色残差模型在城市工业需水量预测中的运用[J].机械制造与自动化,2014,(5):135-138,4.

基金项目

2013年贵州省水利科技基金项目:“贵州城乡水务一体化协调推进的综合保障措施研究”(基金编号:KT201319)。 (基金编号:KT201319)

机械制造与自动化

OACSTPCD

1671-5276

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