南水北调与水利科技Issue(2)：231-235,240,6.DOI:10.13476/j.cnki.nsbdqk.2015.02.009
江苏省太湖流域用水量变化驱动因素研究
Driving factors of water use in the Taihu Lake Basin of Jiangsu
摘要
Abstract
In recent years, water resources shortage has become the main factor restricting the sustainable development of econo-my and society.Meanwhile,the factors such as economic development,population growth, and accelerated urbanization process have formed the newchallenge for the water resources demand. Based on the water use data in the T aihu Lake Basin froM2001 to 2011 and other information such as social economy, science and technology, and water resources endowment, the weighted grey absolute correlation degree method was used to quantitatively analyze the different driving factors for the total water use, agricultural water use, industrial water use, and domestic water use. The results showed that the industrial added value account-ing for GDP,one driving factor of the industrial water use, has the most significant effects on the total water use;fol owed by the urbanization rate, one driving factor of the domestic water use;and the effective irrigation area, one driving factor of the agri-culturalwateruse,hastheleastsignificanteffects.Onthebasis,thecontrollingwaterusemeasureswereproposedfromtheas-pectsofindustrialwateruse,domesticwateruse,andagriculturalwateruse,whichcanprovidethereferenceforthecoordinated and sustainable development of water resources and social economy.关键词
加权灰色绝对关联度/江苏省太湖流域/用水量/驱动因素Key words
weighted grey absolute correlation degree/T aihu Lake Basin of Jiangsu/water use/driving factor分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
姬生才,陆桂华,何海,吴志勇..江苏省太湖流域用水量变化驱动因素研究[J].南水北调与水利科技,2015,(2):231-235,240,6.基金项目
国家社科基金重大项目(12&ZD214) （12&ZD214）
国家社科基金项目(12CGL068) （12CGL068）
江苏省水利厅科技计划项目(201202 （）
2011529012) （）
