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基于系统动力学的网络舆情风险模型仿真研究

高航 丁荣贵

情报杂志Issue(11):7-13,7.
情报杂志Issue(11):7-13,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2014.11.002

基于系统动力学的网络舆情风险模型仿真研究

Research on Modeling and Simulation of Risk of Internet Public Opinion Based on System Dynamics

高航 1丁荣贵2

作者信息

  • 1. 山东大学管理学院 济南 250100
  • 2. 山东政法学院 济南 250100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Network dissemination has the features of high-speed, interaction and wide-ranging. The rising risk of public opinion in the promotion of network dissemination would negatively affect social stability. This paper analyzes the various influences on risk of internet public opinion of diffusion efficiency of information, transmission capacity of subject, action level of network media and resonance degree of audience, and conducts a simulation based on the system dynamics model built around the above-mentioned dimensions applying Ven-sim PLE. The simulation results show that public opinion sensitivity, activity level of subject, influence of media and participation degree of audience have important influence on risk of internet public opinion.

关键词

网络舆情/舆情风险/舆情事件/政府公信力/网络媒体/系统动力学

Key words

internet public opinion/risk of public opinion/public opinion event/government credibility/network media/system dy-namics

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

高航,丁荣贵..基于系统动力学的网络舆情风险模型仿真研究[J].情报杂志,2014,(11):7-13,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目“项目利益相关方治理关系网络风险研究”(编号:71072111) (编号:71072111)

山东大学人文社会科学重大研究项目“政府重大投资项目评价和治理机制研究”(编号:12RWZD16)。 (编号:12RWZD16)

情报杂志

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCI

1002-1965

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