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“三海”问题上美国对华立场的时间序列法分析

韦伟 单洁 李政 罗亚拉

情报杂志Issue(12):10-14,5.
情报杂志Issue(12):10-14,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2014.12.003

“三海”问题上美国对华立场的时间序列法分析

Analysis of United StatesˊStance on China in the "Three-sea"Issues Based on Time-Series Method

韦伟 1单洁 1李政 1罗亚拉1

作者信息

  • 1. 电子工程学院研一队 合肥 230037
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Through historical method, the authors teased out the U. S. ’ s stance on Chinaˊs landmark events in the "Three-sea" issues since the end of the Cold War. After conducting treatment by expert semi-quantitative method and time-series studies, the authors drew the conclusion showing that:since the end of the Cold War, United States took consistent stance on China in the"Three-sea" issues con-stantly. This trend, after 2009, especially after 2011, was exacerbated. The work of this paper is to predict the future of the U. S. ’ s stance toward China in the "Three-sea" issues, expecting to provide a reference and scientific basis.

关键词

时间序列法/“三海”问题/美国对华立场/半定量化研究

Key words

time-series method/"Three-sea" issues/U. S. ’ s stance on China/semi-quantitative study

分类

军事科技

引用本文复制引用

韦伟,单洁,李政,罗亚拉..“三海”问题上美国对华立场的时间序列法分析[J].情报杂志,2014,(12):10-14,5.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金项目“信息化条件下美国‘重返亚洲’战略及我应对策略研究”(编号:13BGJ003)研究成果之一。 (编号:13BGJ003)

情报杂志

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCI

1002-1965

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