人口与经济Issue(4)：9-18,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2015.04.002
老龄化、城镇化与碳排放--基于1995－2012年中国省级动态面板的研究
Aging, Urbanization and Carbon Emissions:Based on China’ s Provincial Dynamic Panel 1995-2012
摘要
Abstract
This paper is based on the provincial dynamic panel data of china which is counted from 1995 to 2012, and investigates the relationship between demographic and carbon emissions through kinds of methods such as remoulding the KAYA equation , system GMM ( SYS-GMM ) and D-K estimation.The results shows that the aging and urbanization are inverted U-shaped relationship between the presence of carbon emissions:the carbon emissions will maintain an upward trend in the early stage of aging due to demographic dividend , but the life expectancy of the population will produce significant inhibition to carbon emissions in the long run; in the initial phase of urbanization , high-energy production would increase carbon emissions , but after reaching a certain degree of urbanization , changes in technology and the development of energy production and consumption patterns will curb carbon emissions increasing .关键词
老龄化/城镇化/碳排放/动态面板Key words
aging/urbanization/carbon emissions/dynamic panel分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
李飞越..老龄化、城镇化与碳排放--基于1995－2012年中国省级动态面板的研究[J].人口与经济,2015,(4):9-18,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目“我国碳排放的区域经济效应及机制研究”（71173092）；教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目（NCET－12－0681）。 （）
