人民长江Issue(16)：98-101,108,5.
时变Copula模型及其在峰量分析中的应用
Time-varying Copula model and its application in joint analysis of flood peak and volume
摘要
Abstract
In order to establish a reasonable and reliable stochastic hydrologic model, the time-varying process of correlative parameters of Copula was described by using a process similar to ARMA(1,q). The time-varying Copula model was established and the varying process of its parameters was deduced. The feasibility of time-varying Copula model in joint analysis of flood peak and volume was discussed. The example shows that the relativity between peak flood and its volume described by time-var-ying Copula model is close to that by static Copula model, which can keep the statistical features of measured flood peak and vol-ume series. The model is suitable for stochastic hydrological simulation.关键词
随机模拟/峰量分析/时变Copula模型/静态Copula模型Key words
stochastic simulation/analysis of peak and volume/time-varying Copula model/static Copula model分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
尹耀锋,邹朝望,黎南关..时变Copula模型及其在峰量分析中的应用[J].人民长江,2014,(16):98-101,108,5.基金项目
水利部科技推广项目(TG1316) （TG1316）
湖北省水利重点科研课题(HBSLKY201403) （HBSLKY201403）
