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不同土壤含水量的动态临界雨量拟定方法研究

陈瑜彬 杨文发 许银山

人民长江Issue(12):21-26,6.
人民长江Issue(12):21-26,6.DOI:10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2015.12.006

不同土壤含水量的动态临界雨量拟定方法研究

Study of Dynamic Critical Precipitation Drafted Method under different soil moisture content level

陈瑜彬 1杨文发 1许银山1

作者信息

  • 1. 长江水利委员会水文局 长江水文情报预报中心,湖北 武汉430010
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摘要

Abstract

Due to the lack of data and insufficient analysis of the critical precipitation, the pre-warning effect of mountain tor-rents is poor. Based on the rainfall-runoff relation, by considering the soil moisture and observed antecedent rainfall, the later rainfall ( critical rainfall) resulting in the peak discharge just to reach the safe discharge is calculated, and then the calculation functions for dynamic critical precipitation under different soil moisture content level are established using the fitted function rela-tion between antecedent rainfall and critical rainfall by least square method. Using this method, combining with 38 typical flood process in the experimental basin from 1964 to 2014, the calculation function are applied to validate the feasibility. The pre-warning of mountain torrents simulation is carried out and the qualification rate is 94. 7%, which indicates that the Dynamic Criti-cal Rainfall Drafting Method is technically feasible for pre-warning of mountain torrents.

关键词

土壤含水量/动态临界雨量/降雨径流/山洪预警

Key words

soil moisture content/dynamic critical precipitation/rainfall-runoff/mountain flood warning

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

陈瑜彬,杨文发,许银山..不同土壤含水量的动态临界雨量拟定方法研究[J].人民长江,2015,(12):21-26,6.

基金项目

水利部公益性行业专项科研经费项目(201201063) (201201063)

人民长江

OA北大核心

1001-4179

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