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气候变化下水资源脆弱性的适应性管理新认识

夏军 石卫 雒新萍 洪思 宁理科 Christopher J Gippel

水科学进展Issue(2):279-286,8.
水科学进展Issue(2):279-286,8.DOI:10�14042/j�cnki�32�1309�2015�02�019

气候变化下水资源脆弱性的适应性管理新认识

Revisions on water resources vulnerability and adaption measures under climate change

夏军 1石卫 2雒新萍 1洪思 3宁理科 4Christopher J Gippel4

作者信息

  • 1. 武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,湖北 武汉 430072
  • 2. 中国科学院陆地水循环及地表过程重点实验室 北京 100101
  • 3. 水资源安全保障湖北省协同创新中心,湖北 武汉 430072
  • 4. 中国科学院陆地水循环及地表过程重点实验室 北京 100101
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Assessment of water resources vulnerability and development of adaption measures under climate change are among the major strategic issues for sustainable development in China. This paper reviews progress in research in this field and recommends revisions in direction and emphasis. In general, research and policy⁃making has so far inad⁃equately dealt with uncertainties that exist in hydrological processes. Also, there has been a tendency for research on vulnerability assessment and adaption measures to be disjointed, while evidence suggests that water shortage that threatens social and economic development is often related to poor water management. Future research in this field would benefit by:Integration of vulnerability assessment and ecological needs with appropriate adaption measures;de⁃velopment of theory and models of how to respond quickly to hydrological, ecological and socio⁃economic change;quantifying and utilizing risk and uncertainty;adopting no regrets adaptation measures;undertaking cost⁃benefit anal⁃ysis of options with the goal of sustainable development;and greater stakeholder involvement in information provision and decision making.

关键词

气候变化/水资源/脆弱性/适应性管理/新认识

Key words

climate change/water resources/vulnerability/adaption measures/revision

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

夏军,石卫,雒新萍,洪思,宁理科,Christopher J Gippel..气候变化下水资源脆弱性的适应性管理新认识[J].水科学进展,2015,(2):279-286,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(51279140);国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)资助项目(2010CB428406) The study is financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China ( No?51279140) and the National Basic Research Program of China ( No?2010CB428406)? ()

水科学进展

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-6791

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