铁道标准设计Issue(10)：1-4,5,5.DOI:10.13238/j.issn.1004-2954.2014.10.001
基于耦合度模型的铁路发展需求性分析
Ana1ysis of Rai1way Deve1opment Needs Based on the Coup1ing Mode1
摘要
Abstract
Currently, the development of regional economic and the development of domestic railway are uncoordinated, and the overall development in different regions is unbalanced in our country. When establishing railway development policy, the limited resources in new railway investment should be reasonably allocated according to the needs of the railway development of each region. Coupling model is proposed based on the capacity coupling theory to calculate the general development level and the coupling coordination degree of the railway system with the regional economic system. As a consequence, the development needs of the regional railway are determined, and thereby a new method of quantitatively assessing the comparative needs of new regional railway is established. The analysis of the railway development plan for the twelfth five-year plan period shows that the new railway mileage proposed for most provinces agrees with the comparative needs calculated based on the coupling models. And for some less developed regions, the planned railway mileage defers a lot from the comparative needs calculated based on the coupling model.关键词
耦合度模型/铁路/经济耦合系统/铁路发展需求度Key words
Coupling model/Railway-economic coupling system/Development needs of the railway分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
艾洪舟,姚令侃..基于耦合度模型的铁路发展需求性分析[J].铁道标准设计,2014,(10):1-4,5,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金重点项目(41030742)；铁道部科技研究开发计划课题(2011G019-B,2011G011-A)。 （41030742）
