铁道标准设计Issue(7)：55-59,60,6.DOI:10.13238/j.issn.1004-2954.2015.07.013
基于GAHP的铁路大雪灾害风险模糊综合评估
GAHP-based Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of Railway Snow Disaster Risk
摘要
Abstract
A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of railway snow disaster risk based on group analytic hierarchy process ( GAHP) model is proposed to assess accurately railway snow disaster risk. Firstly, a system for risk indices assessment is established through risk factor analysis of railway snow disaster, and the weight of each index is determined by means of modified group analytic hierarchy process. Secondly, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is introduced and modified to determine the level of railway snow disaster risk by calculating the effectiveness of the maximum membership degree principle and the application of assurance criterion and feature value equation. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a railway section and the results show that the proposed risk assessment model is effective and can determine the level of risk more accurately.关键词
铁路雪害/风险评估/风险指标体系/模糊综合评价/群决策层次分析法Key words
Railway snow disaster/Risk assessment/System of risk indices/Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation/Group analytic hierarchy process分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
王夫歌,秦勇,程晓卿,高旭东,邢宗义..基于GAHP的铁路大雪灾害风险模糊综合评估[J].铁道标准设计,2015,(7):55-59,60,6.基金项目
中国铁路总公司科技研究开发计划(2013T002-A-2-3) （2013T002-A-2-3）
国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)(2011AA110501) （863计划）
