太平洋学报Issue(5)：95-107,13.
世界海运网络演变及未来发展趋势研究
Research on the Evolution and Future Tendency of Global Shipping Network
摘要
Abstract
Global shipping network has experienced a history of up to 5000 years,from the sporadic trade routes to the worldwide trade network.Throughout the course of the development,it can be divided into four stages:the early stage,balanced development period,upheaval period and peaceful development period.The article re-gards 1763 as an important dividing line and discusses the development process before 1763 in detail,and then analyzes the evolution of Global shipping network from six aspects,namely location,resources,political condi-tions,marine technology,the law of supply and demand,and shipping center formation.On the basis of the re-search,we predict the evolution of the world shipping network after 1763,and point out that Asia-Pacific re-gion is expected to be the new Shipping Centre.However,China,as one of its Marine Powers,should actively take relevant development strategies to deal with the great changes caused by the evolution of the network.关键词
世界海运网络/演变过程/航运中心Key words
Global shipping network/evolution of development process/shipping center分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
李振福,李贺,徐梦俏,李漪..世界海运网络演变及未来发展趋势研究[J].太平洋学报,2014,(5):95-107,13.基金项目
国家社科基金项目“北极航线问题的国际协调机制研究”（08BGJ007）、国家自然科学基金项目“北极权益博弈复杂网络格局演变的能量地形模型仿真研究”（61174166）、国家社科基金重大项目“中国北极航线战略与海洋强国建设研究”（13＆ZD170）、教育部2013新世纪优秀人才支持计划“中国海洋强国战略与海疆安全研究”、中国极地研究中心项目“北极航线全线开通背景下大北极交通运输网络演变研究”的阶段性研究成果。 （）
