土木工程与管理学报Issue(4):76-82,7.
基于DEA的地铁站拥挤踩踏风险分析
Risk Analysis of Crowded Stampede Accident in Subway Stations Based on DEA Method
摘要
Abstract
Many potential safety hazards exist in metro operation due to short operating time, big traffic, and incomplete management system and so on. The security risks caused by the crowded stampede accident are particularly acute. The data envelopment analysis ( DEA ) is used to quantitatively analysis the crowded stampede risk. According to the data of ten subway stations in Wuhan metro system, efficiency analysis in terms of technical efficiency, scale reward and comprehensive efficiency is concluded. Based on this, by determining each decision-making unit’ s slack variable modifier, the improvement strategies are subsequently made, and the main factors are identified. Results indicate that the crowded stampede accident risk assessment is consistent with actual situation. Thus, DEA method can be used in determining the crowded stampede risk status in the station, as well as making improvement strategies.关键词
数据包络分析( DEA)/地铁站/拥挤踩踏/风险分析/松弛变量Key words
data envelopment analysis ( DEA)/subway station/crowded stampede/risk analysis/slack variable分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
张立茂,刘梦洁,吴贤国,仲景冰..基于DEA的地铁站拥挤踩踏风险分析[J].土木工程与管理学报,2014,(4):76-82,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(51378235) (51378235)
武汉市建委科技项目(201208 ()
201334) ()