西安理工大学学报Issue(1)：120-126,7.
中国政府支出结构对居民消费的动态影响效应分析
The analysis of dynamic influence effect upon resident consumption by the Chinese government expenditure structure
摘要
Abstract
T his paper is based on the reality of guiding‐type of economy by the Chinese govern‐ment in the period of transition of the national economic development pattern .The VAR model is established by adopting such Chinese data as the resident consumption expenditure ,the govern‐ment expenditure ,the government investment expenditure ,the government guarantee expendi‐ture ,the income differences between the urban and the rural ,and the financial development de‐gree ,etc ,during the years from 1981 to 2013 .The influence magnitude of the resident consump‐tion subject to the government expenditure structure is analyzed from the theoretical and empiri‐cal angles .T he positive check has found that the government consumption expenditure and the government guarantee expenditure have had a cause effect upon the resident consumption and that the government investment expenditure has had a crowding‐out effect upon the resident consump‐tion after a time lag to a certain extent .This paper holds that although the government financial policy can regulate and control the resident consumption to a certain extent ,the resident consump‐tion cannot depend on the government stimulus ,the nature of capital expenditure by the govern‐ment should quit from the general competitive and operational fields and play the multiplier effect and positive externality effect so as to promote the formation of the endogenous mechanism of res‐ident consumption sustainable grow th .关键词
居民消费/政府支出/引致效应/挤出效应Key words
resident consumption/government expenditures/cause effect/crow ding out分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
孔婷婷,扈文秀..中国政府支出结构对居民消费的动态影响效应分析[J].西安理工大学学报,2015,(1):120-126,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目（71373204）；陕西省教育厅哲学社会科学重点研究基地资助项目（12JZ067）。 （）
