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窟野河流域径流演变及其驱动因素分析

王国庆 张建云 李岩 刘翠善 鲍振鑫 金君良

水资源与水工程学报Issue(2):7-11,16,6.
水资源与水工程学报Issue(2):7-11,16,6.DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2014.02.02

窟野河流域径流演变及其驱动因素分析

Analysis of runoff evolution and factor of driving force in Kuye river catchme nt

王国庆 1张建云 2李岩 1刘翠善 2鲍振鑫 3金君良1

作者信息

  • 1. 南京水利科学研究院水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏南京210029
  • 2. 水利部应对气候变化研究心,江苏南京210029
  • 3. 水利部水文局,北京100053
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Taking Kuye river catchment as an object and using method of sequential cluster analysis ,the paper detected the phase feature of runoff evolution .It then analyzed the response relationship of runoff and climate elements in different phases , and initially revealed the regulation of driving force of runoff e-volution.The results indicate that the measured runoff at Wenjiachuan station in Kuye River catchment presented a general decrease trend in recent 60 years with significant changes starting in 1980 and 1998 , and decreased clearly since 1999 .The relationship between precipitation and runoff of annual scale in dif-ferent phases has certain difference .The correlation between monthly precipitation and runoff in flood sea-son from June to October is better;but in dry season from November to May , the correlation between monthly precipitation and runoff is random .When the temperature of monthly mean is below 5℃, monthly runoff exponentially correlates to mean temperature .The runoff in flood season is dominated by high in-tensity rainfall while human activities play a principle role on river runoff evolution .

关键词

径流/径流演变/有序聚类分析方法/驱动力/窟野河流域

Key words

runoff/runoff evolution/method of sequential cluster analysis/driving force/Kuye river catchment

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

王国庆,张建云,李岩,刘翠善,鲍振鑫,金君良..窟野河流域径流演变及其驱动因素分析[J].水资源与水工程学报,2014,(2):7-11,16,6.

基金项目

国家973气候变化专项计划(2010 CB951103)、国家自然科学基金项目(41330854、41371063)、江苏省“333工程”培养资金资助项目( BRA2012203)联合资助 ()

水资源与水工程学报

OACSTPCD

1672-643X

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