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水资源约束下城市需水量预测研究

李琳 左其亭 郑二伟 孙熙

水资源与水工程学报Issue(5):42-45,4.
水资源与水工程学报Issue(5):42-45,4.DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2014.05.009

水资源约束下城市需水量预测研究

Research on predication of urban water demand under water resources constraint

李琳 1左其亭 2郑二伟 1孙熙1

作者信息

  • 1. 河南省水利勘测设计研究有限公司,河南郑州450016
  • 2. 郑州大学水科学研究中心,河南郑州450001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the analysis of water demand predication and water resources constraint, this paper investigated the quantification indicator of water resources constraint.It put forward that the forecast of urban water demand should be combined with the water resources constraint.The coefficient of water re-sources constraint was introduced to the predication of water demand.The paper set up the prediction model of urber water demand under water resources constraint by using BP network.Taking Zhengzhou for examble,it applied the model to predict the water demand and analyzed the result of predicttion.The re-sults indicated that the model has certain practical value and can provide scientific basis for the plan of zone development,the scheme of water supply project and water saving.

关键词

水资源约束/约束系数/需水量/需水量预测

Key words

water resources constraint/constraint coefficient/water demand/predication model

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

李琳,左其亭,郑二伟,孙熙..水资源约束下城市需水量预测研究[J].水资源与水工程学报,2014,(5):42-45,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(51279183);河南省科技攻关计划项目(132102310528);河南省高校科技创新团队支持计划 ()

水资源与水工程学报

OACSTPCD

1672-643X

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