医学信息Issue(31)：20-20,21,2.
某地市级医院2009~2013年门诊人次动态分析及趋势预测
Outpatient Visits in 2009~2013 Dynamic Analysis and Trend Prediction in Municipal Hospital
费杨华 1韩嘉 1黄成光1
作者信息
- 1. 德阳市人民医院运营管理部，四川 德阳 618000
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Objective Through the analysis of 2009~2013 per quarter outpatient visits change trend, find seasonal index, predicted in 2014 outpatient visits each quarter. Methods Using the trend season model to predict the regression equation. Results The forecast 2014 1.4374 mil ion outpatient visits, a predicted 2014 years ago two quarter outpatient visits accuracy 97.64%. Conclusion The prediction ef ect of this example is satisfied, seasonal trend prediction method is helpful to strengthen the management of outpatient service.关键词
门诊人次/季节变化/趋势预测Key words
Outpatients/Seasonal variation/Trend forecast引用本文复制引用
费杨华,韩嘉,黄成光..某地市级医院2009~2013年门诊人次动态分析及趋势预测[J].医学信息,2014,(31):20-20,21,2.
