中国电机工程学报Issue(3)：568-575,8.DOI:10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.2015.03.008
计及光伏发电相关性的多重积分法概率潮流计算
Probabilistic Load Flow Calculation Method Based on Multiple Integral Method Considering Correlation of Photovoltaic Generation
摘要
Abstract
Due to the impact of the correlation and uncertainty of photovoltaic (PV) generation on power system, it is necessary to apply probabilistic load flow (PLF) considering correlation of PV generation to obtain the statistics of system characteristic quantities. A modified Nataf transformation was proposed to handle the correlation of PV generation in this paper. Based on the traditional Nataf transformation, a third-order polynomial normal transformation was adopted to reduce computational effort of traditional Nataf transformation. In order to simplify the computational complexity induced by the nonlinear relationship between input and output variables of PLF, multiple integral method (MIM) and Gram-Charlier expansion were introduced. Based on load flow calculation corresponding to specified input variables, high precision results of output statistics can be estimated. An IEEE 39-bus system was tested in the simulation study. The simulation results verified the effectiveness, accuracy and efficiency of the proposed algorithm. Comparison between cumulant method and MIM confirmed the limitation of cumulant method and well performance of MIM.关键词
光伏发电/相关性/概率潮流/改进Nataf变换/多重积分法Key words
photovoltaic (PV) generation/correlation/probabilistic load flow (PLF)/modified Nataf transformation/multiple integral method (MIM)分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
吴巍,汪可友,李国杰..计及光伏发电相关性的多重积分法概率潮流计算[J].中国电机工程学报,2015,(3):568-575,8.基金项目
国家高技术研究发展计划863计划资助项目(2014AA052003)；国家自然科学基金资助项目(51307107，51477098)；国家国际科技合作专项项目(2013DFG71630)；教育部博士点基金(20130073120034)。@@@@National High Technology Research and Development Program of China 863 Program (2014AA052003) （2014AA052003）
National Natural Science Foundation of China(51307107，51477098) （51307107，51477098）
International S&T Cooperation Program of China (2013DFG71630) （2013DFG71630）
Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China (20130073120034) （20130073120034）
