中国工程科学Issue(1)：143-150,8.
基于工期可控性的网络进度计划仿真评价方法研究
Research on simulation evaluation method based on duration contro-llability of network schedule
潘菲菲 1王仁超 1曹永雷1
作者信息
- 1. 天津大学水利工程仿真与安全国家重点实验室，天津300072
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
As the fact that schedulers usually utilizing resources re-allocation and improving resource-utilization efficiency in coping with project delay caused by risk events,a stochastic simulation evaluation method based on duration controllability of network schedule was put for-ward. This method took the resource allocation and utilization of margin of the activity as con-trollable indicators,and considered different constructability of measures reaction to different occur time of risk events. Through the stochastic simulation of each risk events occur time,de-lay of activity duration and effect of the risk reaction,the distribution of project duration was simulated which was utilized to evaluate the rationality of the network schedule. A case indi-cates that,compared with traditional simulation evaluation methods such as duration-based and factors-based Monte-Carlo simulation,simulation results of the duration controllability-based is more reasonable.关键词
网络进度计划/随机仿真/风险应对/工期可控性/评价Key words
network schedule/stochastic simulation/risk reaction/duration controllabili-ty/evaluation分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
潘菲菲,王仁超,曹永雷..基于工期可控性的网络进度计划仿真评价方法研究[J].中国工程科学,2015,(1):143-150,8.
