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2014年国内外食糖市场形势分析及展望

刘晓雪 宋杰 张宸

农业展望Issue(11):20-25,6.
农业展望Issue(11):20-25,6.

2014年国内外食糖市场形势分析及展望

Sugar Markets at Home and Abroad in 2014 and Their Prospects

刘晓雪 1宋杰 2张宸1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京工商大学经济学院 北京 100048
  • 2. 北京工商大学中国食品安全研究中心 北京 100048
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

2013/14 crushing season has ended, China's total production of sugar was 13.318 million tons, and the sales was 11.404 million tons. In 2014, the overall production of sugar increased, but the main producing areas were concentrated significantly, while the amount of sugar sales and the rate of production&marketing both fell, at the same time, non-quota sugar was incorporated into automatic import licensing, and the effect of El Nino climate would last the whole year. Looking ahead, as surplus inventory, domestic and international sugar prices will remain under pressure in the short term, but the surplus situation of international sugar market may turn to insufficient with the stock pressure relieving, and China's sugar market will also come to the decreasing production cycle in 2014/15 crushing season, which all lead sugar price a upward momentum in the long term. Sustained attention should be paid for weather changes of main producing countries, such as Brazil and Indian, proportion of sugar cane for Brazilian sugar and import and export subsidy policies in India, changes in exchange rates and macro-economic dynamics in the future.

关键词

食糖价格/产量/供需/销糖率/进出口/市场形势/展望

Key words

sugar price/production/supply and demand/rate of production &marketing/import and export/market situation/outlook

引用本文复制引用

刘晓雪,宋杰,张宸..2014年国内外食糖市场形势分析及展望[J].农业展望,2014,(11):20-25,6.

基金项目

农业部、财政部现代农业(甘蔗)产业技术体系建设专项资金 ()

北京哲学社会科学首都流通业基地 ()

2014价格波动创新团队(19005453003) ()

国际农业体系国际农业研究体系"糖料市场、贸易及产业政策研究” ()

农业展望

1673-3908

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