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2014年国内外食糖市场回顾与2015年展望

刘晓雪 张宸 宋杰 郑传芳

农业展望Issue(4):14-18,5.
农业展望Issue(4):14-18,5.

2014年国内外食糖市场回顾与2015年展望

Domestic and Foreign Sugar Markets in 2014 and Their Prospects for 2015

刘晓雪 1张宸 1宋杰 1郑传芳2

作者信息

  • 1. 北京工商大学 北京 100048
  • 2. 福建农林大学 福建 福州 350002
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In 2014, China's total production of sugar suffered a decrease, reaching 12.482 6 million tons, and the sales volume was 10.829 8 million tons with a slight decline in both sales volume and rate. However, the sugar crop began to plant in intensive districts. Owing to the automatic import licensing administration of non-quota sugar, the imports of sugar dropped significantly to 3 485 800 tons. The impact of El Nino climate on sugar lasted the whole year with sugar price fluctuating significantly. Looking ahead, both domestic and foreign sugar prices will incline to fall for the excess inventory in the short term, while in the long term, domestic sugar price is likely to increase, for the surplus supply of international sugar may reverse in 2015/16 crushing season with the release of sugar storage press, and domestic production will enter a reduction cycle in 2014/15 crushing season. Afterwards, more attentions should be paid to the weather changes, the cane sugar proportion, the import and export subsidy policies, exchange rate changes and other macroeconomic factors of main sugar producing countries.

关键词

食糖/市场/政策/国内外/供需/价格/销糖量/展望

Key words

sugar/market/policy/domestic and foreign/supply and demand/price/sugar sales volume/prospect

引用本文复制引用

刘晓雪,张宸,宋杰,郑传芳..2014年国内外食糖市场回顾与2015年展望[J].农业展望,2015,(4):14-18,5.

基金项目

农业部、财政部现代农业(甘蔗)产业技术体系建设专项资金(CARS-20-11B);教育部人文社科青年基金项目(13YJC790097);国际农业研究体系“糖料市场、贸易及产业政策研究” (甘蔗)

农业展望

1673-3908

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